|
The XBox game console sports a list price of $299, but consumers will be
shelling out between $499 and $1200 to get one for Christmas. Few will be
available except in a "package deal" including peripherals and software. That
will be Microsoft software and Microsoft peripherals, by the way. If you want
any non-Microsoft stuff, you'll have to pay even more.
Retailers are being given the "choice" of going with the bundles or giving
up marketing money, not an acceptable alternative in low margin retail.
Microsoft is also dictating how much shelf space retailers must devote to
XBox to get them at all.
Microsoft's official statement? "This is based on what retailers told us
they wanted".
Analysis
Riiiight, it's what retailers wanted. Like the reason they
always give when a new Windows "feature" pushes other publishers out
of the market, "Our customers asked us for this". No, it's what Microsoft
wants.
Every game publisher will pay a hefty fee to Microsoft for every XBox
game they sell, but for a Microsoft game, Microsoft gets it all. Production
cost is about zero, and retailer margins are tight, so Microsoft makes out
like a bandit.
Of course, this amounts to stabbing their "partners" in the back. Sales of
third party games will be severely depressed, because just about every
XBox sold will have a bunch of Microsoft games with it. The kids will have
to get tired of those, and convince their parents to shell out yet
more money, before anyone else sells any.
How can Microsoft do all this when they don't actually have a
monopoly in game consoles? They intend to "emulate" a monopoly (until they
can get a real one) by generating massive demand through a truly gigantic
marketing and advertising campaign - paid for by those game sales.
Will they succeed? Maybe, but to quote Gartner Group senior analyst
P.J.McNealy,
"They're overestimating demand. That could result in a near fatal first step".
They also seem to be pissing off the hard core gamers they depend on to
generate word-of-mouth momentum. If XBox becomes "uncool", Christmas may be
hard on unaware parents. "Awwww, Mom, Dad, how could you do this
to me. You're so lame!"
As for Microsoft's "partners" getting screwed, I haven't a drop of
sympathy. Anyone who can't see what happens to Microsoft partners by this
late date should simply be removed from the gene pool for the betterment
of the species.
- Andrew Grygus
|